Tropical Storm Melissa Intensifies While Barrels Toward the Island Nation
Cyclone Melissa is predicted to strengthen into a uncommon category five cyclone as it shifts in the direction of Jamaica, delivering life-threatening flash flooding and rock falls.
The hurricane, which had winds of up to 120 mph as of 06:00 GMT, is presently veering toward the northwest in the Caribbean region and is expected to hit the coast by early next week, based on data from weather experts.
Advisories of blackouts and disruption to utilities have been released as this storm produces up to 30 inches of precipitation and storm surges as high as 13ft above ground. "Find safe refuge immediately," residents have been told.
This hurricane is the 13th named storm in this year's Atlantic storm period, which normally finishes in late autumn.
Most Intense Storm Danger
A highest-level storm is the most powerful category, with winds of at least 252 km/h.
While this storm is projected to reduce in intensity to a category four cyclone before arriving at the island, experts said there was "minimal real distinction in the overall impacts" upon landfall, and that the storm will be "equally strong" when it hits the nation.
Critical Preparations
With tropical storm-strength wind and rainfall already expected ahead of it crosses the island's interior - possibly even the city of Kingston - warnings emphasize that "safety measures need to be finalized quickly".
"An extended timeframe of damaging winds and heavy rainfall have begun and will cause severe and deadly flash flooding and multiple rock slides," advised meteorological officials.
The nation's leader the statesman said: "I realize that there are countless citizens who are worried, who are extremely apprehensive, and appropriately: you should be concerned.
"Yet the most effective method to manage nervousness and any nervousness and anxiety is to remain prepared."
Locals are being instructed to secure their homes with sandbags and timber panels, and to stock up on essentials.
Broader Impact
Alerts are also in effect for areas in the neighboring country encompassing the main city, Port au Prince, the adjacent nation and eastern Cuba, where this storm is expected to bring similar effects by the middle of next week.
Mudslides already being caused by the cyclone have resulted in two fatalities in the country, according to local authorities.
Projected Trajectory
This weather system is forecast to pass over Cuba by Wednesday before moving through the Caribbean archipelago and out into the Atlantic.
By the moment it makes contact with Cuba, it is anticipated to have reduced to a category three hurricane.
Weather Context
While it is difficult to link particular meteorological occurrences to climate change, scientists say it is making meteorological events more prevalent and more extreme.
Higher ocean heat generate more moisture in the air, helping fuel the formation of tropical cyclones.
Prior to the commencement of this season's Atlantic storm period, climate agencies projected increased storm frequency, mentioning warmer seas and possible enhanced seasonal rains around West Africa - where hurricanes typically originate.